Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 19/08, 02:00

Prediction: The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero

Team pages: The Strongest · Oriente Petrolero

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

The Strongest2.16

Oriente Petrolero1.11

1X2

61% 22% 18%

The Strongest Draw Oriente Petrolero

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

The Strongest 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDDWLL

Oriente Petrolero 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWWLWW

Head-to-head

The Strongest 4–1–1 Oriente Petrolero (6 last)

The Strongest2-1Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest3-0Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-3The Strongest
The Strongest1-2Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-2The Strongest
The Strongest2-0Oriente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Strongest 1522 · Oriente Petrolero 1495

	The Strongest	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	The Strongest	Oriente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.73 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
23:34 +1’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:33 +2’	1.43	4.61	4.77
01:37 +3’	1.40▼	4.73▲	5.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 4–1–1 Oriente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
12/03/26 America Friendlies	The Strongest	3-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
08/03/26 America Friendlies	Oriente Petrolero	2-3 HT 1-1	The Strongest
31/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	1-2 HT 0-1	Oriente Petrolero
02/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	2-2 HT 0-1	The Strongest
29/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	2-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Universitario De Vinto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guabira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oriente Petrolero	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	The Strongest	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Strongest	Oriente Petrolero
Guabira	1-3 L	2-2 D
Independiente Petrolero	1-2 L	2-1 W
Nacional Potosi	3-2 W	1-0 W
Club Aurora	1-1 D	2-2 D
Blooming	1-1 D	0-1 L
Bolivar	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Strongest

DWDWDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	1	4	W
31/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
16/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
14/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/05	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	9	D

Oriente Petrolero

LDLLDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
06/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
16/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
31/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
15/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	2	10	D
11/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (61%). Probabilities: The Strongest 61%, draw 22%, Oriente Petrolero 18%.

How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model expects 3.28 goals (The Strongest 2.16 · Oriente Petrolero 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.