Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 16/08, 22:00

Prediction: AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicaral

Team pages: AD Cofutpa · ADR Jicaral

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

AD Cofutpa0.93

ADR Jicaral1.64

1X2

21% 26% 53%

AD Cofutpa Draw ADR Jicaral

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AD Cofutpa 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLDDLDLLLL

ADR Jicaral 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWLDWD

Head-to-head

AD Cofutpa 1–5 ADR Jicaral (6 last)

AD Cofutpa1-2ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral1-0AD Cofutpa
ADR Jicaral2-0AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa2-1ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral4-1AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa2-5ADR Jicaral

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Cofutpa 1424 · ADR Jicaral 1561

	AD Cofutpa	Draw	ADR Jicaral
Our model	20%	27%	53%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1424 vs 1561).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Cofutpa	ADR Jicaral
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.3	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.5	5.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.60

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:50 +10’	4.20	3.60	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Cofutpa 1–0–5 ADR Jicaral

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	1-2 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
08/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	1-0 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
25/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-0 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
07/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	2-1 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
05/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	4-1 HT 2-0	AD Cofutpa
20/01/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	2-5 HT 1-3	ADR Jicaral

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Sarchi	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
2	ADR Jicaral	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
3	Quepos Cambute FC	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
4	AD Grecia	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	PFA Santa Cruz	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
6	AD Rosario	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
7	AD Cofutpa	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Cofutpa	ADR Jicaral
AD Sarchi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Quepos Cambute FC	1-3 L	3-1 W
Inter San Carlos	0-3 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Upala	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Cofutpa

WLDDLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-3	–	–	L
02/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
12/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
05/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
26/03	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
22/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
11/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	2	11	D
08/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/03	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
26/02	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

ADR Jicaral

WWDWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
31/07	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	12	D
18/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/05	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	13	W
03/05	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
26/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
12/04	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-2	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicaral?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ADR Jicaral win (53%). Probabilities: AD Cofutpa 21%, draw 26%, ADR Jicaral 53%.

How many goals are expected in AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicaral?

The model expects 2.57 goals (AD Cofutpa 0.93 · ADR Jicaral 1.64), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicaral?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.