Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 23/08, 19:00

Prediction: Santa Ana vs CS Uruguay de Coronado

Team pages: Santa Ana · CS Uruguay de Coronado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Santa Ana1.88

CS Uruguay de Coronado1.4

1X2

47% 25% 27%

Santa Ana Draw CS Uruguay de Coronado

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Ana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLWWW

CS Uruguay de Coronado 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Santa Ana 4–2 CS Uruguay de Coronado (6 last)

Santa Ana5-3CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado4-1Santa Ana
CS Uruguay de Coronado0-2Santa Ana
Santa Ana2-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado2-4Santa Ana
Santa Ana0-1CS Uruguay de Coronado

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Ana 1530 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1441

	Santa Ana	Draw	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Ana (rating 1530 vs 1441).
H2H favours Santa Ana: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santa Ana	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:55 +1’	1.90	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana 4–0–2 CS Uruguay de Coronado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	5-3 HT 4-2	CS Uruguay de Coronado
02/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	4-1 HT 1-0	Santa Ana
18/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	0-2 HT 0-1	Santa Ana
05/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	2-1 HT 1-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
16/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	2-4 HT 2-3	Santa Ana
02/02/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	0-1 HT 0-1	CS Uruguay de Coronado

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Cariari Pococi	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
3	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Guadalupe FC	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
5	FC Aserri	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
6	AD Carmelita	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
8	Futbol Consultants Desamparados	3	0	1	2	2	4	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Ana	CS Uruguay de Coronado
AD Carmelita	3-2 W	2-2 D
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1-2 L	1-2 L
Cariari Pococi	1-1 D	0-1 L
Escorpiones de Belen FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Ana

DWLDLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	3-2	9	6	W
01/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	2-2	3-2	7	5	W
22/03	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	4-2	5-3	6	6	W
13/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
10/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	10	8	D
28/02	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	1	4	L
25/02	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
13/02	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

CS Uruguay de Coronado

LWLWLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
08/08	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
02/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
26/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
19/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	2-5	4	6	L
07/04	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-3	8	1	L
29/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	9	W
26/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
21/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	3-0	3-0	3	6	W
15/03	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	2-4	3-5	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Ana vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Ana win (47%). Probabilities: Santa Ana 47%, draw 25%, CS Uruguay de Coronado 27%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Ana vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Santa Ana 1.88 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Ana vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.