Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: AD Sarchi vs Quepos Cambute FC
Team pages: AD Sarchi · Quepos Cambute FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
AD Sarchi1.49
Quepos Cambute FC1.5
1X2
AD Sarchi
Draw
Quepos Cambute FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AD Sarchi
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Quepos Cambute FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD Sarchi
2–2–2
Quepos Cambute FC
(6 last)
- Quepos Cambute FC2-0AD Sarchi
- AD Sarchi2-2Quepos Cambute FC
- AD Sarchi1-3Quepos Cambute FC
- Quepos Cambute FC1-2AD Sarchi
- AD Sarchi1-0Quepos Cambute FC
- Quepos Cambute FC1-1AD Sarchi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD Sarchi 1490 · Quepos Cambute FC 1554
| AD Sarchi | Draw | Quepos Cambute FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quepos Cambute FC (rating 1490 vs 1554).
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Sarchi | Quepos Cambute FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.9 | 2.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Sarchi 2–2–2 Quepos Cambute FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AD Sarchi |
| 24/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Sarchi | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Quepos Cambute FC |
| 12/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Sarchi | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Quepos Cambute FC |
| 31/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | AD Sarchi |
| 02/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Sarchi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Quepos Cambute FC |
| 19/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AD Sarchi |
Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Quepos Cambute FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | AD Grecia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | AD Sarchi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | PFA Santa Cruz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | AD Rosario | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | AD Cofutpa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Sarchi | Quepos Cambute FC |
|---|---|---|
| ADR Jicaral | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| AD Cofutpa | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| AD Grecia | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| PFA Santa Cruz | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Sarchi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/03 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 10/03 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/03 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 26/02 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Quepos Cambute FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 03/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
1-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Sarchi vs Quepos Cambute FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Quepos Cambute FC win (37%). Probabilities: AD Sarchi 36%, draw 26%, Quepos Cambute FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in AD Sarchi vs Quepos Cambute FC?
The model expects 2.99 goals (AD Sarchi 1.49 · Quepos Cambute FC 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Sarchi vs Quepos Cambute FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.