Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: ADR Jicaral vs PFA Santa Cruz
Team pages: ADR Jicaral · PFA Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
ADR Jicaral1.94
PFA Santa Cruz0.77
1X2
ADR Jicaral
Draw
PFA Santa Cruz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
ADR Jicaral
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
PFA Santa Cruz
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ADR Jicaral
2–4–0
PFA Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- ADR Jicaral0-0PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz1-1ADR Jicaral
- PFA Santa Cruz2-2ADR Jicaral
- ADR Jicaral2-0PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz1-1ADR Jicaral
- ADR Jicaral2-0PFA Santa Cruz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ADR Jicaral 1553 · PFA Santa Cruz 1496
| ADR Jicaral | Draw | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1553 vs 1496).
- H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ADR Jicaral | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 6 / 1.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ADR Jicaral 2–4–0 PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda | ADR Jicaral | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 29/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 1-1 | ADR Jicaral |
| 05/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 2-2 | ADR Jicaral |
| 17/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda | ADR Jicaral | 2-0 HT 0-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 02/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | ADR Jicaral |
| 21/01/24 Costa Rica Segunda | ADR Jicaral | 2-0 HT 0-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Quepos Cambute FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | AD Grecia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | AD Sarchi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | PFA Santa Cruz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | AD Rosario | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | AD Cofutpa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ADR Jicaral | PFA Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| AD Cofutpa | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| AD Sarchi | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Quepos Cambute FC | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Deportivo Upala | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ADR Jicaral
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 18/05 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 13 | W |
| 03/05 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/03 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/03 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ADR Jicaral vs PFA Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ADR Jicaral win (65%). Probabilities: ADR Jicaral 65%, draw 22%, PFA Santa Cruz 13%.
How many goals are expected in ADR Jicaral vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model expects 2.71 goals (ADR Jicaral 1.94 · PFA Santa Cruz 0.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ADR Jicaral vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.