Football · Iraq Stars League · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Al Zawra'a1.54
Al Minaa0.75
1X2
Al Zawra'a
Draw
Al Minaa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Al Minaa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Zawra'a
4–2
Al Minaa
(6 last)
- Al Minaa0-2Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a2-0Al Minaa
- Al Zawra'a2-1Al Minaa
- Al Minaa1-0Al Zawra'a
- Al Minaa1-0Al Zawra'a
- Al Zawra'a1-0Al Minaa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Zawra'a 1516 · Al Minaa 1489
| Al Zawra'a | Draw | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Zawra'a: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Zawra'a | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.6 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Zawra'a 4–0–2 Al Minaa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Minaa | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 28/12/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Zawra'a | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Minaa |
| 25/06/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Zawra'a | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Al Minaa |
| 26/02/25 Iraq Cup | Al Minaa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 29/10/24 Iraq League | Al Minaa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| 31/05/24 Iraq League | Al Zawra'a | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Minaa |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Naft SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Newroz SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Al Jolan SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Naft Maysan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Al Gharraf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Kahrabaa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Karma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Minaa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mosul FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Shorta SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Diyala FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Duhok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Erbil SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Karbalaa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Zakho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Zawra'a | Al Minaa |
|---|---|---|
| Al Naft SC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Al Qasim SC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Al Talaba | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Amanat Baghdad | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Zawra'a
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Al Najaf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 17 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Al Qasim SC Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Al Karkh Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Al Minaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/05 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 14/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Al Qasim SC Iraq Stars League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/04 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Zawra'a win (56%). Probabilities: Al Zawra'a 56%, draw 27%, Al Minaa 17%.
How many goals are expected in Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Al Zawra'a 1.54 · Al Minaa 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.