Football · Belarus Premier League · 19/08, 18:00
Prediction: FC ML Vitebsk vs FC Baranovichi
Team pages: FC ML Vitebsk · FC Baranovichi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
FC ML Vitebsk1.92
FC Baranovichi1.36
1X2
FC ML Vitebsk
Draw
FC Baranovichi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC ML Vitebsk
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Baranovichi
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC ML Vitebsk
4–1–1
FC Baranovichi
(6 last)
- FC Baranovichi0-4FC ML Vitebsk
- FC Baranovichi1-1FC ML Vitebsk
- FC Baranovichi2-4FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk1-2FC Baranovichi
- FC Baranovichi2-3FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk5-0FC Baranovichi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC ML Vitebsk: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC ML Vitebsk | FC Baranovichi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.3 | – / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC ML Vitebsk 4–1–1 FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Baranovichi | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 13/07/25 Belarus Cup | FC Baranovichi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 27/10/24 Belarus Division 1 | FC Baranovichi | 2-4 HT 1-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 30/06/24 Belarus Division 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Baranovichi |
| 25/11/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC Baranovichi | 2-3 HT 0-3 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 04/08/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 5-0 HT 1-0 | FC Baranovichi |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Isloch | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Belshina Bobruisk | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC ML Vitebsk | FC Baranovichi |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Mozyr | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Minsk | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Borac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | Borac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Sutjeska Niksic UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | Sutjeska Niksic UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | CS U Craiova UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | CS U Craiova UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/06 | Energetik-BGU Minsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Isloch Belarus Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Uni Minsk Belarus Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC ML Vitebsk vs FC Baranovichi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC ML Vitebsk win (50%). Probabilities: FC ML Vitebsk 50%, draw 24%, FC Baranovichi 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC ML Vitebsk vs FC Baranovichi?
The model expects 3.28 goals (FC ML Vitebsk 1.92 · FC Baranovichi 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC ML Vitebsk vs FC Baranovichi?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.