Football · Belarus Premier League · 28/08, 17:00
Prediction: FC Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: FC Vitebsk · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
FC Vitebsk2.04
Naftan Novopolotsk0.89
1X2
FC Vitebsk
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Vitebsk
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Vitebsk
3–1–2
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk1-1FC Vitebsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk3-0FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk2-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-4FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk2-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- FC Vitebsk1-2Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vitebsk (rating 1548 vs 1431).
- H2H favours FC Vitebsk: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Vitebsk | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.4 | – / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vitebsk 3–1–2 Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| 16/08/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| 05/04/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 19/10/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-4 HT 0-3 | FC Vitebsk |
| 24/05/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 14/03/20 Europe Friendlies | FC Vitebsk | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | FC ML Vitebsk | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Vitebsk | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| Neman Grodno | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Gomel | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Dinamo Brest | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Vitebsk (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vitebsk win (63%). Probabilities: FC Vitebsk 63%, draw 22%, Naftan Novopolotsk 15%.
How many goals are expected in FC Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 2.93 goals (FC Vitebsk 2.04 · Naftan Novopolotsk 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.