Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Atlantis vs PPJ

Team pages: Atlantis · PPJ

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.78Total

Atlantis2.9

PPJ1.89

1X2

58% 18% 24%

Atlantis Draw PPJ

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWDWW

PPJ 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

Atlantis 2–1–0 PPJ (3 last)

PPJ3-3Atlantis
PPJ3-4Atlantis
Atlantis2-0PPJ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis 1576 · PPJ 1482

	Atlantis	Draw	PPJ
Our model	58%	18%	24%
Market	58%	19%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.78 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 87%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis (rating 1576 vs 1482).
H2H favours Atlantis: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis	PPJ
Goals for / against (FT)	3.8 / 2.5	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.1	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.75

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 51.93

Under 51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.97
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.39 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +2’	1.53	4.75	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +2’	1.49	4.89	4.37
01:15	1.48▼	4.97▲	4.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis 2–1–0 PPJ

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	3-3 HT 3-2	Atlantis
24/09/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	3-4 HT 2-2	Atlantis
02/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	2-0 HT 0-0	PPJ

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	17	11	3	3	36	23	36
2	PEPO	17	10	4	3	31	22	34
3	Atlantis	17	9	2	6	56	41	29
4	HIFK 2	17	7	6	4	38	28	27
5	HPS	17	7	4	6	38	36	25
6	PPJ	17	5	8	4	30	25	23
7	Reipas	17	7	2	8	35	34	23
8	Puiu	17	4	4	9	25	36	16
9	MyPa	17	3	3	11	18	38	12
10	Union Plaani	17	3	2	12	18	42	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis	PPJ
HIFK 2	5-3 W	2-1 W
Reipas	4-2 W	1-2 L
Puiu	2-2 D	1-4 L
HPS	5-3 W	2-2 D
Union Plaani	6-3 W	0-1 L
Kiffen	3-5 L	1-2 L
PEPO	5-1 W	2-2 D
MyPa	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis

WDWWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
07/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L
04/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-1	2	5	W
27/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
11/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	3-3	7	5	D
06/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	3-2	4	1	W

PPJ

WDDLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
07/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
02/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
24/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
02/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
27/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
11/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	3-3	6	5	D
06/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	3-1	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis vs PPJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis win (58%). Probabilities: Atlantis 58%, draw 18%, PPJ 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis vs PPJ?

The model expects 4.78 goals (Atlantis 2.9 · PPJ 1.89), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis vs PPJ?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.