Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: MyPa vs Puiu

Team pages: MyPa · Puiu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

MyPa1.77

Puiu1.96

1X2

35% 23% 42%

MyPa Draw Puiu

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MyPa 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Puiu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MyPa 1–1–2 Puiu (4 last)

Puiu1-1MyPa
Puiu6-1MyPa
Puiu2-0MyPa
MyPa4-0Puiu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MyPa 1418 · Puiu 1476

	MyPa	Draw	Puiu
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	35%	23%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puiu (rating 1418 vs 1476).
H2H favours Puiu: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MyPa	Puiu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	3.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.90

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.78 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:56 +25’	2.60	3.90	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +3’	2.78	3.89	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MyPa 1–1–2 Puiu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	1-1 HT 1-0	MyPa
30/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	6-1 HT 4-0	MyPa
12/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	2-0 HT 0-0	MyPa
11/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	4-0 HT 3-0	Puiu

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	17	11	3	3	36	23	36
2	PEPO	17	10	4	3	31	22	34
3	Atlantis	17	9	2	6	56	41	29
4	HIFK 2	17	7	6	4	38	28	27
5	HPS	17	7	4	6	38	36	25
6	PPJ	17	5	8	4	30	25	23
7	Reipas	17	7	2	8	35	34	23
8	Puiu	17	4	4	9	25	36	16
9	MyPa	17	3	3	11	18	38	12
10	Union Plaani	17	3	2	12	18	42	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MyPa	Puiu
PPJ	1-2 L	4-1 W
PEPO	1-4 L	2-3 L
Kiffen	0-0 D	1-3 L
Reipas	2-4 L	4-1 W
HPS	2-5 L	0-2 L
Union Plaani	2-0 W	1-2 L
HIFK 2	0-4 L	2-2 D
Atlantis	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Puiu (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MyPa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
07/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
01/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
18/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-5	7	5	L
11/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
27/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
06/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-3	5	9	L

Puiu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
08/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	3	9	D
01/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-2	0	8	D
24/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
11/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
04/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
13/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MyPa vs Puiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puiu win (42%). Probabilities: MyPa 35%, draw 23%, Puiu 42%.

How many goals are expected in MyPa vs Puiu?

The model expects 3.73 goals (MyPa 1.77 · Puiu 1.96), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MyPa vs Puiu?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.