Prediction: Kiffen vs HPS
- HPS1-2Kiffen
- Kiffen2-3HPS
- HPS1-0Kiffen
- Kiffen3-1HPS
- HPS1-3Kiffen
| Kiffen | Draw | HPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1586 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Kiffen: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kiffen | HPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.2 | 2.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 3–0–2 HPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | HPS | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kiffen |
| 04/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Kiffen | 2-3 HT 1-0 | HPS |
| 25/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HPS | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kiffen |
| 23/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Kiffen | 3-1 HT 0-1 | HPS |
| 06/02/22 Europe Friendlies | HPS | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Kiffen |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiffen | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 36 |
| 2 | PEPO | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Atlantis | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 41 | 29 |
| 4 | HIFK 2 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 28 | 27 |
| 5 | HPS | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 36 | 25 |
| 6 | PPJ | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Reipas | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 23 |
| 8 | Puiu | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | MyPa | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Plaani | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kiffen | HPS |
|---|---|---|
| Puiu | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Union Plaani | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| MyPa | 0-0 D | 5-2 W |
| HIFK 2 | 1-1 D | 5-5 D |
| PEPO | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Atlantis | 5-3 W | 3-5 L |
| PPJ | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Reipas | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Kiffen (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kiffen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 5-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
HPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 13 | D |
| 25/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-3 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs HPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (63%). Probabilities: Kiffen 63%, draw 20%, HPS 18%.
How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs HPS?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Kiffen 2.5 · HPS 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kiffen vs HPS?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.