Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sambiase vs Nissa FC

Team pages: Sambiase · Nissa FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Sambiase1.34
Nissa FC1.08
1X2
42% 29% 29%
Sambiase Draw Nissa FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sambiase 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWWLWD
Nissa FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLLDDL
Head-to-head
Sambiase 0–3–1 Nissa FC (4 last)
  • Sambiase1-1Nissa FC
  • Nissa FC0-0Sambiase
  • Nissa FC2-1Sambiase
  • Sambiase1-1Nissa FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sambiase 1530 · Nissa FC 1480
SambiaseDrawNissa FC
Our model41%30%29%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sambiase (rating 1530 vs 1480).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SambiaseNissa FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.33.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.45.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sambiase 0–3–1 Nissa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Italy Serie D
Sambiase1-1
HT 0-0
Nissa FC
14/12/25
Italy Serie D
Nissa FC0-0
HT 0-0
Sambiase
26/01/25
Italy Serie D
Nissa FC2-1
HT 2-1
Sambiase
29/09/24
Italy Serie D
Sambiase1-1
HT 0-1
Nissa FC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 8611 18319
2 Sambiase 8521 12617
3 Calcio Avola 1949 8512 121116
4 Vibonese 8431 17715
5 Igea Virtus 8422 191514
6 ASD Licata 7421 10914
7 Milazzo 8413 91013
8 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 8332 14812
9 Nissa FC 8233 11129
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Vigor Lamezia 8224 10168
12 Siracusa 7421 1157
13 Modica 7214 7107
14 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
15 Città di Gela 8143 686
16 Trapani 8305 4114
17 ASD Ragusa 8035 6133
18 Enna Calcio 8017 0201

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSambiaseNissa FC
Calcio Avola 1949 1-1 D 2-4 L
Trapani 1-0 W 2-0 W
ASD Licata 1-2 L 1-1 D
Vigor Lamezia 4-1 W 3-1 W
Reggina 2-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nissa FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sambiase

DLWDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 Trapani
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 15 W
04/10 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 37 L
27/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-1 54 W
20/09 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 47 W
16/09 Modica
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 92 W
12/09 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 47 W
03/05 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-2 2-4 51 L
26/04 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 35 D

Nissa FC

WDWDWLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Reggina
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 86 L
11/10 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 66 D
04/10 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 46 D
27/09 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 85 L
20/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-4 65 L
16/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 67 W
13/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 123 D
06/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 33 W
17/05 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
– 4-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sambiase vs Nissa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sambiase win (42%). Probabilities: Sambiase 42%, draw 29%, Nissa FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sambiase vs Nissa FC?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Sambiase 1.34 · Nissa FC 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sambiase vs Nissa FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.