Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Calvi Noale vs Este

Team pages: Calvi Noale · Este

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Calvi Noale1.18
Este0.96
1X2
40% 30% 29%
Calvi Noale Draw Este
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Calvi Noale 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDDWLWLL
Este 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLDWLW
Head-to-head
Calvi Noale 3–1–2 Este (6 last)
  • Este0-2Calvi Noale
  • Calvi Noale3-1Este
  • Calvi Noale1-1Este
  • Este1-2Calvi Noale
  • Calvi Noale0-3Este
  • Este2-0Calvi Noale
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvi Noale 1499 · Este 1484
Calvi NoaleDrawEste
Our model39%32%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Calvi Noale: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Calvi NoaleEste
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/0/67%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 41 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Calvi Noale 3–1–2 Este

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
Italy Serie D
Este0-2
HT 0-0
Calvi Noale
23/11/25
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale3-1Este
19/01/25
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale1-1
HT 0-1
Este
22/09/24
Italy Serie D
Este1-2
HT 1-0
Calvi Noale
08/04/18
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale0-3Este
19/11/17
Italy Serie D
Este2-0Calvi Noale

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 8611 18319
2 Sambiase 8521 12617
3 Calcio Avola 1949 8512 121116
4 Vibonese 8431 17715
5 Igea Virtus 8422 191514
6 ASD Licata 7421 10914
7 Milazzo 8413 91013
8 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 8332 14812
9 Nissa FC 8233 11129
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Vigor Lamezia 8224 10168
12 Siracusa 7421 1157
13 Modica 7214 7107
14 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
15 Città di Gela 8143 686
16 Trapani 8305 4114
17 ASD Ragusa 8035 6133
18 Enna Calcio 8017 0201

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCalvi NoaleEste
Clodiense 2-3 L 0-1 L
Sandona 1922 0-2 L 0-0 D
ASD Brian Lignano 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Este (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvi Noale

WWLDDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
11/10 Sandona 1922
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Virtus Bolzano
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 24 W
27/09 ASD Brian Lignano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 54 L
20/09 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Calcio Schio
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 Triestina
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 AC Mestre
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 55 L
03/05 Bassano
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W

Este

WWWLLLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 22 W
11/10 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 44 W
27/09 Sandona 1922
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
20/09 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 24 L
16/09 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 FC Obermais
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 32 L
06/09 ASD Brian Lignano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 02 W
26/04 Treviso
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvi Noale vs Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Calvi Noale win (40%). Probabilities: Calvi Noale 40%, draw 30%, Este 29%.

How many goals are expected in Calvi Noale vs Este?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Calvi Noale 1.18 · Este 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Calvi Noale vs Este?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.