Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Gavorrano

Team pages: ASD Seravezza Calcio · Gavorrano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

ASD Seravezza Calcio1.4

Gavorrano1.11

1X2

43% 29% 29%

ASD Seravezza Calcio Draw Gavorrano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

ASD Seravezza Calcio 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLWD

Gavorrano 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWWDDD

Head-to-head

ASD Seravezza Calcio 3–1–2 Gavorrano (6 last)

Gavorrano1-1ASD Seravezza Calcio
ASD Seravezza Calcio2-1Gavorrano
Gavorrano0-2ASD Seravezza Calcio
ASD Seravezza Calcio1-0Gavorrano
Gavorrano3-0ASD Seravezza Calcio
ASD Seravezza Calcio1-2Gavorrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1552 · Gavorrano 1541

	ASD Seravezza Calcio	Draw	Gavorrano
Our model	42%	29%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ASD Seravezza Calcio: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASD Seravezza Calcio	Gavorrano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:56 +8’	1.91	3.20	3.60
18:16 +6’	2.10▲	3.20	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Seravezza Calcio 3–1–2 Gavorrano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	1-1 HT 0-1	ASD Seravezza Calcio
26/10/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Seravezza Calcio	2-1 HT 1-0	Gavorrano
04/05/25 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	0-2	ASD Seravezza Calcio
21/12/24 Italy Serie D	ASD Seravezza Calcio	1-0 HT 1-0	Gavorrano
24/02/24 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	3-0 HT 1-0	ASD Seravezza Calcio
22/10/23 Italy Serie D	ASD Seravezza Calcio	1-2 HT 1-1	Gavorrano

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18	3	19
2	Sambiase	8	5	2	1	12	6	17
3	Calcio Avola 1949	8	5	1	2	12	11	16
4	Vibonese	8	4	3	1	17	7	15
5	Igea Virtus	8	4	2	2	19	15	14
6	ASD Licata	7	4	2	1	10	9	14
7	Milazzo	8	4	1	3	9	10	13
8	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	8	3	3	2	14	8	12
9	Nissa FC	8	2	3	3	11	12	9
10	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	7	2	2	3	10	10	8
11	Vigor Lamezia	8	2	2	4	10	16	8
12	Siracusa	7	4	2	1	11	5	7
13	Modica	7	2	1	4	7	10	7
14	ASD CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8	10	7
15	Città di Gela	8	1	4	3	6	8	6
16	Trapani	8	3	0	5	4	11	4
17	ASD Ragusa	8	0	3	5	6	13	3
18	Enna Calcio	8	0	1	7	0	20	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASD Seravezza Calcio	Gavorrano
Virtus Flaminia	1-0 W	1-1 D
ASD Terranuova Traiana	3-0 W	1-1 D
San Donato Tavarnelle	1-2 L	2-0 W
Prato	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Seravezza Calcio (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Seravezza Calcio

DWLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
11/10	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
04/10	Robur Siena Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D	3-0	3-0	5	5	W
20/09	SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
16/09	Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Lucchese Italy Serie D	5-0	5-0	2	5	W
06/09	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	Prato Italy Serie D	2-0	2-1	3	7	W
03/05	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D

Gavorrano

WLWDWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Prato Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
11/10	ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
04/10	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
20/09	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
16/09	GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D	–	1-0	0	0	W
12/09	Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
06/09	ASD Grassina Italy Serie D	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
03/05	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Scandicci Italy Serie D	1-1	3-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Gavorrano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Seravezza Calcio win (43%). Probabilities: ASD Seravezza Calcio 43%, draw 29%, Gavorrano 29%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Gavorrano?

The model expects 2.5 goals (ASD Seravezza Calcio 1.4 · Gavorrano 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Gavorrano?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.