Prediction: Prato vs Virtus Flaminia
Team pages: Prato · Virtus Flaminia
| Prato | Draw | Virtus Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prato (rating 1573 vs 1489).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Prato | Virtus Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.8 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Città di Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Prato | Virtus Flaminia |
|---|---|---|
| Gavorrano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ASD Terranuova Traiana | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| ASD Sasso Marconi | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| ASD Grassina | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Prato (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 20 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Virtus Flaminia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mezzolara Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ghiviborgo Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Montespaccato Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prato vs Virtus Flaminia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Prato win (59%). Probabilities: Prato 59%, draw 25%, Virtus Flaminia 16%.
How many goals are expected in Prato vs Virtus Flaminia?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Prato 1.78 · Virtus Flaminia 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Prato vs Virtus Flaminia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.