Football · England Development League 2 · 18/08, 15:00
Prediction: Cardiff U21 vs Barnsley U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Cardiff U211.8
Barnsley U211.16
1X2
Cardiff U21
Draw
Barnsley U21
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Barnsley U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cardiff U21
3–1–0
Barnsley U21
(4 last)
- Barnsley U211-1Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U211-0Barnsley U21
- Cardiff U212-1Barnsley U21
- Cardiff U213-1Barnsley U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cardiff U21 1510 · Barnsley U21 1515
| Cardiff U21 | Draw | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cardiff U21: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cardiff U21 | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cardiff U21 3–1–0 Barnsley U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cardiff U21 |
| 15/04/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 01/09/23 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 25/04/23 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Barnsley U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnsley U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bolton Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cardiff U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Charlton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Coventry U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Huddersfield U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hull U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | QPR U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Swansea U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wigan U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cardiff U21 | Barnsley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth U21 | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Hull U21 | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Colchester U21 | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Swansea U21 | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnsley U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cardiff U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Bournemouth U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Barnsley U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/03 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/03 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/02 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cardiff U21 vs Barnsley U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff U21 win (52%). Probabilities: Cardiff U21 52%, draw 23%, Barnsley U21 24%.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Cardiff U21 1.8 · Barnsley U21 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cardiff U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.