Football · England Development League 2 · 25/08, 14:00
Prediction: Coventry U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
Team pages: Fleetwood Town U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Coventry U212.73
Fleetwood Town U211.51
1X2
Coventry U21
Draw
Fleetwood Town U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry U21
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Fleetwood Town U21
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coventry U21
2–4
Fleetwood Town U21
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town U210-5Coventry U21
- Coventry U211-2Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U211-2Coventry U21
- Coventry U211-2Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U212-0Coventry U21
- Coventry U210-4Fleetwood Town U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coventry U21 1452 · Fleetwood Town U21 1386
| Coventry U21 | Draw | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coventry U21 (rating 1452 vs 1386).
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town U21: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coventry U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 22/11/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coventry U21 2–0–4 Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 06/03/26 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 17/02/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 21/10/24 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 25/01/24 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Coventry U21 |
| 31/10/23 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barnsley U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bolton U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Coventry U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hull U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cardiff U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Charlton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Swansea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coventry U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield U21 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Millwall U21 | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Brentford U21 | 0-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Coventry U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 17/03 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 27/02 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/03 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 17/03 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/03 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coventry U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coventry U21 win (63%). Probabilities: Coventry U21 63%, draw 19%, Fleetwood Town U21 19%.
How many goals are expected in Coventry U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Coventry U21 2.73 · Fleetwood Town U21 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.