Football · England Development League 2 · 25/08, 13:00
Prediction: Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21
Team pages: Swansea U21 · Peterborough U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Swansea U212.04
Peterborough U211.6
1X2
Swansea U21
Draw
Peterborough U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Swansea U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Peterborough U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swansea U21
2–1–1
Peterborough U21
(4 last)
- Swansea U211-2Peterborough U21
- Peterborough U211-2Swansea U21
- Peterborough U211-3Swansea U21
- Peterborough U212-2Swansea U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swansea U21 1531 · Peterborough U21 1507
| Swansea U21 | Draw | Peterborough U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Market | 48% | 21% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Swansea U21: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swansea U21 | Peterborough U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 22/22/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.6 | 4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swansea U21 2–1–1 Peterborough U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Peterborough U21 |
| 17/01/25 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 16/04/24 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Swansea U21 |
| 06/09/22 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barnsley U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bolton U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Coventry U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hull U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cardiff U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Charlton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Swansea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swansea U21 | Peterborough U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford U21 | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Watford U21 | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Hull U21 | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Swansea U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Peterborough U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/02 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swansea U21 win (48%). Probabilities: Swansea U21 48%, draw 22%, Peterborough U21 30%.
How many goals are expected in Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Swansea U21 2.04 · Peterborough U21 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.