Football · England Development League 2 · 25/08, 14:00
Prediction: Wigan U21 vs Cardiff U21
Team pages: Wigan U21 · Cardiff U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Wigan U211.84
Cardiff U211.62
1X2
Wigan U21
Draw
Cardiff U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Cardiff U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan U21
1–1–2
Cardiff U21
(4 last)
- Cardiff U211-2Wigan U21
- Wigan U211-3Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U211-1Wigan U21
- Wigan U211-2Cardiff U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan U21 1528 · Cardiff U21 1487
| Wigan U21 | Draw | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 44% | 21% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigan U21 (rating 1528 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Cardiff U21: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan U21 | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan U21 1–1–2 Cardiff U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Wigan U21 |
| 20/08/24 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cardiff U21 |
| 09/04/24 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wigan U21 |
| 05/09/22 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cardiff U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barnsley U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bolton U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Coventry U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hull U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cardiff U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Charlton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Swansea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wigan U21 | Cardiff U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton U21 | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Hull U21 | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Barnsley U21 | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 5-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigan U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 02/03 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/02 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 5-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
Cardiff U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan U21 vs Cardiff U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan U21 win (43%). Probabilities: Wigan U21 43%, draw 23%, Cardiff U21 34%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Wigan U21 1.84 · Cardiff U21 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.