Football · England Development League 2 · 18/08, 14:00

Prediction: Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Peterborough U212.21

QPR U211.78

1X2

48% 21% 31%

Peterborough U21 Draw QPR U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Peterborough U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLWDWL

QPR U21 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Peterborough U21 0–2–2 QPR U21 (4 last)

Peterborough U212-2QPR U21
QPR U212-0Peterborough U21
Peterborough U211-7QPR U21
Peterborough U212-2QPR U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough U21 1492 · QPR U21 1486

	Peterborough U21	Draw	QPR U21
Our model	47%	22%	31%
Market	48%	20%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours QPR U21: 2-2-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peterborough U21	QPR U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 7.5	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.85▲	Pinn 2.08 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.69
2	3.30 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:33 +6’	1.70	4.50	3.30
13:47 +5’	1.85▲	4.50	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:39	2.14	4.70	2.43
15:00	2.08▼	4.69▼	2.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough U21 0–2–2 QPR U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/25 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	2-2 HT 2-0	QPR U21
06/05/25 England Development League 2	QPR U21	2-0 HT 1-0	Peterborough U21
29/08/23 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	1-7 HT 1-4	QPR U21
08/08/22 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	2-2 HT 1-1	QPR U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colchester U21	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	Barnsley U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bolton Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bristol City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Cardiff U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Charlton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Coventry U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Huddersfield U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Hull U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Millwall U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Peterborough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	QPR U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheff Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheffield Wed U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Swansea U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Wigan U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Fleetwood Town U21	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peterborough U21	QPR U21
Swansea U21	2-1 W	1-3 L
Millwall U21	2-1 W	2-0 W
Crewe U21	3-3 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Peterborough U21

DLLWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/05	Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
27/04	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
14/04	Brentford U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/04	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
31/03	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	1-3	2-5	5	4	L
24/03	Watford U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-3	7	5	D
17/03	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-1	11	2	W
06/03	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
03/03	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-3	2-3	6	6	L
23/02	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	0-2	3-3	9	6	D

QPR U21

LWLWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Bolton U21 England U21 Premier League Cup	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
21/07	Worthing UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	3	0	D
10/04	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	3-1	5-2	6	0	W
27/03	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-3	9	4	L
24/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	0-2	2-3	8	3	L
20/03	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	4-3	3	7	W
17/03	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
10/03	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/03	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-3	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough U21 win (48%). Probabilities: Peterborough U21 48%, draw 21%, QPR U21 31%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Peterborough U21 2.21 · QPR U21 1.78), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.