Football · England Development League 2 · 18/08, 14:00

Prediction: Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Bristol City U212.1

Wigan U211.9

1X2

43% 22% 35%

Bristol City U21 Draw Wigan U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bristol City U21 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWWDW

Wigan U21 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Bristol City U21 3–1 Wigan U21 (4 last)

Wigan U212-3Bristol City U21
Bristol City U214-2Wigan U21
Bristol City U212-1Wigan U21
Bristol City U211-2Wigan U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bristol City U21 1535 · Wigan U21 1510

	Bristol City U21	Draw	Wigan U21
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bristol City U21: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bristol City U21	Wigan U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	2.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.13
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.74 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +1’	2.05	4.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +2’	2.10	3.79	2.69
15:00	2.13▲	3.90▲	2.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City U21 3–0–1 Wigan U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/03/26 England Development League 2	Wigan U21	2-3 HT 1-0	Bristol City U21
14/04/25 England Development League 2	Bristol City U21	4-2 HT 2-1	Wigan U21
05/09/23 England Development League 2	Bristol City U21	2-1 HT 2-1	Wigan U21
25/04/23 England Development League 2	Bristol City U21	1-2 HT 1-1	Wigan U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colchester U21	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	Barnsley U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bolton Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bristol City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Cardiff U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Charlton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Coventry U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Huddersfield U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Hull U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Millwall U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Peterborough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	QPR U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheff Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheffield Wed U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Swansea U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Wigan U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Fleetwood Town U21	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bristol City U21	Wigan U21
Sheff Utd U21	2-1 W	2-3 L
Hull U21	1-4 L	2-0 W
Crewe U21	3-4 L	3-1 W
Watford U21	2-2 D	2-4 L
Charlton U21	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bristol City U21

WDLWDLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Reading U21 England U21 Premier League Cup	1-0	4-0	10	5	W
25/07	Merthyr Town Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/04	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
13/04	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-1	2-1	3	8	W
08/04	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-4	6	4	L
31/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
24/03	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
17/03	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-1	3-4	6	2	L
10/03	Watford U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
03/03	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	0-0	2-1	4	0	W

Wigan U21

LWWDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/04	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	2-1	3-2	9	7	W
07/04	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
31/03	Hull U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
27/03	QPR U21 England Development League 2	0-2	3-2	3	4	W
24/03	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/03	Watford U21 England Development League 2	0-4	2-4	3	4	L
10/03	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
02/03	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/02	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	2-2	5-3	7	3	W
17/02	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City U21 win (43%). Probabilities: Bristol City U21 43%, draw 22%, Wigan U21 35%.

How many goals are expected in Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Bristol City U21 2.1 · Wigan U21 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.