Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Imperia vs Celle Varazze FBC

Team pages: ASD Imperia · Celle Varazze FBC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
ASD Imperia1.68
Celle Varazze FBC0.85
1X2
56% 25% 18%
ASD Imperia Draw Celle Varazze FBC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Imperia 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWDLWLDWL
Celle Varazze FBC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLLLLD
Head-to-head
ASD Imperia 0–2–1 Celle Varazze FBC (3 last)
  • ASD Imperia0-1Celle Varazze FBC
  • Celle Varazze FBC2-2ASD Imperia
  • ASD Imperia1-1Celle Varazze FBC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Imperia 1478 · Celle Varazze FBC 1435
ASD ImperiaDrawCelle Varazze FBC
Our model56%26%18%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Imperia (rating 1478 vs 1435).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD ImperiaCelle Varazze FBC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.20.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 41.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Imperia 0–2–1 Celle Varazze FBC

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Italy Serie D
ASD Imperia0-1Celle Varazze FBC
21/12/25
Italy Serie D
Celle Varazze FBC2-2ASD Imperia
24/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
ASD Imperia1-1
HT 0-1
Celle Varazze FBC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 8611 18319
2 Sambiase 8521 12617
3 Calcio Avola 1949 8512 121116
4 Vibonese 8431 17715
5 Igea Virtus 8422 191514
6 ASD Licata 7421 10914
7 Milazzo 8413 91013
8 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 8332 14812
9 Nissa FC 8233 11129
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Vigor Lamezia 8224 10168
12 Siracusa 7421 1157
13 Modica 7214 7107
14 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
15 Città di Gela 8143 686
16 Trapani 8305 4114
17 ASD Ragusa 8035 6133
18 Enna Calcio 8017 0201

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Imperia

DLWDLWLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
11/10 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
04/10 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
30/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 63 L
27/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 13 W
16/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
13/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D
06/09 ASD Millesimo Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
03/05 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D

Celle Varazze FBC

WWWLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 35 D
07/10 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-4 27 L
20/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 53 L
16/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
12/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 23 W
19/04 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Imperia vs Celle Varazze FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Imperia win (56%). Probabilities: ASD Imperia 56%, draw 25%, Celle Varazze FBC 18%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Imperia vs Celle Varazze FBC?

The model expects 2.54 goals (ASD Imperia 1.68 · Celle Varazze FBC 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Imperia vs Celle Varazze FBC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.