Football · England Development League 2 · 17/08, 14:00
Prediction: Swansea U21 vs Sheff Utd U21
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Swansea U212.01
Sheff Utd U211.46
1X2
Swansea U21
Draw
Sheff Utd U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Swansea U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sheff Utd U21
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swansea U21
2–1–3
Sheff Utd U21
(6 last)
- Sheff Utd U212-2Swansea U21
- Swansea U215-0Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U214-2Swansea U21
- Sheff Utd U215-1Swansea U21
- Sheff Utd U214-2Swansea U21
- Swansea U214-1Sheff Utd U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swansea U21 1529 · Sheff Utd U21 1500
| Swansea U21 | Draw | Sheff Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 51% | 20% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sheff Utd U21: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swansea U21 | Sheff Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swansea U21 2–1–3 Sheff Utd U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Swansea U21 |
| 05/05/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 20/05/24 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Swansea U21 |
| 27/02/24 England U21 Premier League Cup | Sheff Utd U21 | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 29/08/23 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 24/04/23 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Sheff Utd U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnsley U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bolton Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cardiff U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Charlton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Coventry U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Huddersfield U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hull U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | QPR U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Swansea U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wigan U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swansea U21 | Sheff Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich U21 | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Colchester U21 | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Barnsley U21 | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sheff Utd U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Birmingham U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Sheff Utd U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 21/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 31/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/03 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/02 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swansea U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swansea U21 win (50%). Probabilities: Swansea U21 50%, draw 21%, Sheff Utd U21 28%.
How many goals are expected in Swansea U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Swansea U21 2.01 · Sheff Utd U21 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Swansea U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.