Football · England Development League 2 · 01/09, 14:00
Prediction: Hull U21 vs Swansea U21
Team pages: Hull U21 · Swansea U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Hull U211.91
Swansea U211.85
1X2
Hull U21
Draw
Swansea U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Hull U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Swansea U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hull U21
0–6
Swansea U21
(6 last)
- Hull U211-4Swansea U21
- Swansea U211-0Hull U21
- Hull U211-6Swansea U21
- Swansea U214-0Hull U21
- Swansea U214-0Hull U21
- Swansea U213-1Hull U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hull U21 1497 · Swansea U21 1502
| Hull U21 | Draw | Swansea U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 22% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Swansea U21: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull U21 | Swansea U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 56/44/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull U21 0–0–6 Swansea U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Swansea U21 |
| 14/04/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hull U21 |
| 08/12/23 England U21 Premier League Cup | Hull U21 | 1-6 HT 0-3 | Swansea U21 |
| 29/09/23 England U21 Premier League Cup | Swansea U21 | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Hull U21 |
| 04/09/23 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Hull U21 |
| 03/04/23 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Hull U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Peterborough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnsley U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Cardiff U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Huddersfield U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Colchester U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Bristol City U21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 10 | Hull U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Charlton U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | QPR U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Wigan U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Coventry U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Swansea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hull U21 | Swansea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley U21 | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Colchester U21 | 2-2 D | 5-0 W |
| Sheff Utd U21 | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Peterborough U21 | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 03/03 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull U21 vs Swansea U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hull U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Hull U21 40%, draw 23%, Swansea U21 37%.
How many goals are expected in Hull U21 vs Swansea U21?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Hull U21 1.91 · Swansea U21 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull U21 vs Swansea U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.