Football · England Development League 2 · 01/09, 14:00

Prediction: Charlton U21 vs Wigan U21

Team pages: Charlton U21 · Wigan U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

Charlton U212.42

Wigan U211.52

1X2

57% 20% 23%

Charlton U21 Draw Wigan U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Charlton U21 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Wigan U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Charlton U21 2–1–1 Wigan U21 (4 last)

Wigan U213-2Charlton U21
Charlton U214-2Wigan U21
Charlton U212-2Wigan U21
Charlton U214-2Wigan U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlton U21 1482 · Wigan U21 1488

	Charlton U21	Draw	Wigan U21
Our model	57%	21%	23%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Charlton U21: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlton U21	Wigan U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.8	2.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.63
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.70 ★
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:28 +4’	1.57	4.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +1’	1.63	4.70	3.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton U21 2–1–1 Wigan U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 England Development League 2	Wigan U21	3-2 HT 2-1	Charlton U21
13/08/24 England Development League 2	Charlton U21	4-2 HT 2-0	Wigan U21
21/08/23 England Development League 2	Charlton U21	2-2 HT 0-0	Wigan U21
03/04/23 England Development League 2	Charlton U21	4-2 HT 2-1	Wigan U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	2	2	0	0	8	0	6
2	Peterborough U21	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Barnsley U21	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Cardiff U21	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
5	Huddersfield U21	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
6	Sheff Utd U21	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
7	Colchester U21	2	1	0	1	4	7	3
8	Fleetwood Town U21	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
9	Bristol City U21	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
10	Hull U21	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
11	Sheffield Wed U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	Charlton U21	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	QPR U21	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	Wigan U21	2	0	1	1	4	7	1
15	Coventry U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	Millwall U21	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
17	Swansea U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlton U21	Wigan U21
Barnsley U21	2-2 D	1-1 D
Watford U21	1-3 L	2-4 L
Cardiff U21	0-1 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Charlton U21 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlton U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
18/08	Bolton U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
20/04	Watford U21 England Development League 2	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
17/04	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	11	1	D
14/04	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
03/04	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/03	Peterborough U21 England Development League 2	3-1	5-2	5	4	W
23/03	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-2	1	2	W
17/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	0-2	1-2	14	2	L
10/03	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Wigan U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	1-3	2-5	5	2	L
18/08	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-2	2-2	1	4	D
14/04	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	2-1	3-2	9	7	W
07/04	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
31/03	Hull U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
27/03	QPR U21 England Development League 2	0-2	3-2	3	4	W
24/03	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/03	Watford U21 England Development League 2	0-4	2-4	3	4	L
10/03	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
02/03	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlton U21 vs Wigan U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlton U21 win (57%). Probabilities: Charlton U21 57%, draw 20%, Wigan U21 23%.

How many goals are expected in Charlton U21 vs Wigan U21?

The model expects 3.93 goals (Charlton U21 2.42 · Wigan U21 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlton U21 vs Wigan U21?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.