Football · England Development League 2 · 13/09, 13:00

Prediction: Sheffield Wed U21 vs Charlton U21

Team pages: Sheffield Wed U21 · Charlton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Sheffield Wed U211.86

Charlton U211.67

1X2

42% 23% 35%

Sheffield Wed U21 Draw Charlton U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sheffield Wed U21 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWDDW

Charlton U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLLDD

Head-to-head

Sheffield Wed U21 0–4 Charlton U21 (4 last)

Charlton U215-0Sheffield Wed U21
Sheffield Wed U210-5Charlton U21
Sheffield Wed U210-2Charlton U21
Sheffield Wed U210-5Charlton U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheffield Wed U21 1522 · Charlton U21 1497

	Sheffield Wed U21	Draw	Charlton U21
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	43%	22%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Charlton U21: 4-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sheffield Wed U21	Charlton U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	3.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.15
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.47 ★
2	2.88 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.57

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:00 +20’	1.91	4.20	2.88
06:27 +10’	2.10▲	4.20	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +309’	2.12	4.45	2.54
09:23 +45’	2.13▲	4.38▼	2.54
11:01 +40’	2.15▲	4.47▲	2.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheffield Wed U21 0–0–4 Charlton U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/25 England Development League 2	Charlton U21	5-0 HT 1-0	Sheffield Wed U21
16/09/24 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	0-5 HT 0-2	Charlton U21
08/09/23 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	0-2 HT 0-0	Charlton U21
19/08/22 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	0-5 HT 0-0	Charlton U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	3	3	0	0	11	1	9
2	Barnsley U21	3	2	1	0	8	6	7
3	Huddersfield U21	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
4	Sheffield Wed U21	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
5	Peterborough U21	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
6	Fleetwood Town U21	4	2	0	2	4	9	6
7	Bristol City U21	3	1	2	0	6	4	5
8	Cardiff U21	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	QPR U21	4	1	1	2	8	9	4
10	Sheff Utd U21	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Charlton U21	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
12	Swansea U21	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
13	Colchester U21	3	1	0	2	7	11	3
14	Wigan U21	4	0	2	2	7	13	2
15	Hull U21	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
16	Coventry U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	Millwall U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sheffield Wed U21	Charlton U21
Wigan U21	4-1 W	2-2 D
Barnsley U21	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sheffield Wed U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheffield Wed U21

LLDWLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-0	4-1	2	0	W
01/09	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
22/08	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
20/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
14/04	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	3-0	4-0	2	4	W
10/04	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
07/04	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
31/03	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
20/03	Brentford U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
16/03	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-5	6	6	L

Charlton U21

LWWWLDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-2	2-2	6	2	D
23/08	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
18/08	Bolton U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
20/04	Watford U21 England Development League 2	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
17/04	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	11	1	D
14/04	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
03/04	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/03	Peterborough U21 England Development League 2	3-1	5-2	5	4	W
23/03	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-2	1	2	W
17/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	0-2	1-2	14	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheffield Wed U21 vs Charlton U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheffield Wed U21 win (42%). Probabilities: Sheffield Wed U21 42%, draw 23%, Charlton U21 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sheffield Wed U21 vs Charlton U21?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Sheffield Wed U21 1.86 · Charlton U21 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wed U21 vs Charlton U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.