Football · England Development League 2 · 15/09, 15:00
Prediction: Wigan U21 vs Colchester U21
Team pages: Wigan U21 · Colchester U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
Wigan U212.63
Colchester U211.75
1X2
Wigan U21
Draw
Colchester U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Colchester U21
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan U21
2–2
Colchester U21
(4 last)
- Colchester U214-1Wigan U21
- Wigan U214-1Colchester U21
- Wigan U213-0Colchester U21
- Wigan U211-2Colchester U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan U21 1469 · Colchester U21 1433
| Wigan U21 | Draw | Colchester U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 19% | 24% |
| Market | 56% | 20% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan U21 | Colchester U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 0/22/78% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan U21 2–0–2 Colchester U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 England Development League 2 | Colchester U21 | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Wigan U21 |
| 17/09/24 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Colchester U21 |
| 12/09/23 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Colchester U21 |
| 24/08/22 England U23 Development League | Wigan U21 | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Colchester U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Huddersfield U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol City U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | QPR U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Charlton U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Swansea U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Wigan U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
| 15 | Hull U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Coventry U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wigan U21 | Colchester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton U21 | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Cardiff U21 | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Bristol City U21 | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Colchester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/03 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 23 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan U21 vs Colchester U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan U21 win (56%). Probabilities: Wigan U21 56%, draw 20%, Colchester U21 24%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan U21 vs Colchester U21?
The model expects 4.38 goals (Wigan U21 2.63 · Colchester U21 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan U21 vs Colchester U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.