Football · England Development League 2 · 15/09, 14:00
Prediction: Coventry U21 vs Barnsley U21
Team pages: Coventry U21 · Barnsley U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Coventry U212.04
Barnsley U211.77
1X2
Coventry U21
Draw
Barnsley U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry U21
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Barnsley U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coventry U21
1–2–3
Barnsley U21
(6 last)
- Barnsley U212-1Coventry U21
- Coventry U211-1Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U212-4Coventry U21
- Coventry U212-2Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U213-1Coventry U21
- Coventry U210-2Barnsley U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coventry U21 1420 · Barnsley U21 1536
| Coventry U21 | Draw | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 21% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnsley U21 (rating 1420 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Barnsley U21: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coventry U21 | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coventry U21 1–2–3 Barnsley U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 05/12/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 04/03/25 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 19/11/24 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Barnsley U21 |
| 19/03/24 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Coventry U21 |
| 07/11/23 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Barnsley U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Huddersfield U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol City U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | QPR U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Charlton U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Swansea U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Wigan U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
| 15 | Hull U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Coventry U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coventry U21 | Barnsley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe U21 | 3-2 W | 2-5 L |
| Charlton U21 | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coventry U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 17/03 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
Barnsley U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/03 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coventry U21 vs Barnsley U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coventry U21 win (44%). Probabilities: Coventry U21 44%, draw 22%, Barnsley U21 34%.
How many goals are expected in Coventry U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Coventry U21 2.04 · Barnsley U21 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.