Football · England Development League 2 · 15/09, 14:00
Prediction: Peterborough U21 vs Bristol City U21
Team pages: Peterborough U21 · Bristol City U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
Peterborough U212.16
Bristol City U211.77
1X2
Peterborough U21
Draw
Bristol City U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough U21
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Bristol City U21
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peterborough U21
2–4
Bristol City U21
(6 last)
- Bristol City U211-2Peterborough U21
- Peterborough U214-2Bristol City U21
- Peterborough U211-4Bristol City U21
- Peterborough U211-4Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U214-3Peterborough U21
- Peterborough U210-2Bristol City U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peterborough U21 1540 · Bristol City U21 1552
| Peterborough U21 | Draw | Bristol City U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 21% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bristol City U21: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterborough U21 | Bristol City U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.1 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough U21 2–0–4 Bristol City U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Peterborough U21 |
| 11/03/25 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Bristol City U21 |
| 27/01/24 England U21 Premier League Cup | Peterborough U21 | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Bristol City U21 |
| 12/09/23 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Bristol City U21 |
| 18/08/23 England U21 Premier League Cup | Bristol City U21 | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Peterborough U21 |
| 23/08/22 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bristol City U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Huddersfield U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol City U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | QPR U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Charlton U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Swansea U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Wigan U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
| 15 | Hull U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Coventry U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterborough U21 | Bristol City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Watford U21 | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hull U21 | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterborough U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Bristol City U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 08/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterborough U21 vs Bristol City U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough U21 win (47%). Probabilities: Peterborough U21 47%, draw 22%, Bristol City U21 32%.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough U21 vs Bristol City U21?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Peterborough U21 2.16 · Bristol City U21 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterborough U21 vs Bristol City U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.