Football · England Development League 2 · 01/09, 14:00

Prediction: Bristol City U21 vs Sheff Utd U21

Team pages: Bristol City U21 · Sheff Utd U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Bristol City U211.66

Sheff Utd U211.99

1X2

32% 22% 46%

Bristol City U21 Draw Sheff Utd U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Bristol City U21 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWWDD

Sheff Utd U21 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWLDW

Head-to-head

Bristol City U21 1–1–4 Sheff Utd U21 (6 last)

Sheff Utd U211-2Bristol City U21
Bristol City U211-2Sheff Utd U21
Sheff Utd U212-1Bristol City U21
Bristol City U211-1Sheff Utd U21
Bristol City U210-4Sheff Utd U21
Sheff Utd U214-0Bristol City U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bristol City U21 1518 · Sheff Utd U21 1540

	Bristol City U21	Draw	Sheff Utd U21
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	33%	21%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sheff Utd U21: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bristol City U21	Sheff Utd U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.20

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.85 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:23 +9’	2.75	4.20	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +1’	2.85	4.06	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City U21 1–1–4 Sheff Utd U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 England Development League 2	Sheff Utd U21	1-2 HT 1-0	Bristol City U21
22/12/25 England U21 Premier League Cup	Bristol City U21	1-2 HT 1-1	Sheff Utd U21
05/12/25 England U21 Premier League Cup	Sheff Utd U21	2-1 HT 1-0	Bristol City U21
12/08/24 England Development League 2	Bristol City U21	1-1 HT 0-0	Sheff Utd U21
22/08/23 England Development League 2	Bristol City U21	0-4 HT 0-4	Sheff Utd U21
15/05/23 England Development League 2	Sheff Utd U21	4-0 HT 2-0	Bristol City U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	2	2	0	0	8	0	6
2	Peterborough U21	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Barnsley U21	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Cardiff U21	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
5	Huddersfield U21	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
6	Sheff Utd U21	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
7	Colchester U21	2	1	0	1	4	7	3
8	Fleetwood Town U21	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
9	Bristol City U21	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
10	Hull U21	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
11	Sheffield Wed U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	Charlton U21	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	QPR U21	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	Wigan U21	2	0	1	1	4	7	1
15	Coventry U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
16	Millwall U21	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
17	Swansea U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bristol City U21	Sheff Utd U21
Sheffield Wed U21	1-1 D	2-2 D
Colchester U21	3-1 W	4-2 W
Hull U21	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sheff Utd U21 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bristol City U21

WDLWDLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
18/08	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
20/04	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
13/04	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-1	2-1	3	8	W
08/04	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-4	6	4	L
31/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
24/03	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
17/03	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-1	3-4	6	2	L
10/03	Watford U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
03/03	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	0-0	2-1	4	0	W

Sheff Utd U21

LDDWLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
21/04	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-2	2-2	4	8	D
13/04	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-0	1-2	11	8	L
31/03	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	4-2	2	1	W
27/03	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
23/03	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-3	4	4	L
17/03	QPR U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
10/03	Hull U21 England Development League 2	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
02/03	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
24/02	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bristol City U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd U21 win (46%). Probabilities: Bristol City U21 32%, draw 22%, Sheff Utd U21 46%.

How many goals are expected in Bristol City U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Bristol City U21 1.66 · Sheff Utd U21 1.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bristol City U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.