Football · England Development League 2 · 13/09, 14:00

Prediction: QPR U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21

Team pages: QPR U21 · Fleetwood Town U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.28Total

QPR U212.39

Fleetwood Town U211.88

1X2

49% 21% 30%

QPR U21 Draw Fleetwood Town U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

QPR U21 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Fleetwood Town U21 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

QPR U21 1–2–0 Fleetwood Town U21 (3 last)

QPR U212-2Fleetwood Town U21
QPR U211-1Fleetwood Town U21
QPR U212-0Fleetwood Town U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · QPR U21 1463 · Fleetwood Town U21 1421

	QPR U21	Draw	Fleetwood Town U21
Our model	49%	21%	30%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours QPR U21 (rating 1463 vs 1421).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	QPR U21	Fleetwood Town U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.2	1.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.88
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.37 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:30 +1’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +257’	1.90	4.33	2.97
01:23 +13’	1.88▼	4.37▲	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · QPR U21 1–2–0 Fleetwood Town U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/25 England Development League 2	QPR U21	2-2 HT 1-0	Fleetwood Town U21
15/04/25 England Development League 2	QPR U21	1-1 HT 0-1	Fleetwood Town U21
04/09/23 England Development League 2	QPR U21	2-0 HT 0-0	Fleetwood Town U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	3	3	0	0	11	1	9
2	Barnsley U21	3	2	1	0	8	6	7
3	Huddersfield U21	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
4	Sheffield Wed U21	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
5	Peterborough U21	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
6	Fleetwood Town U21	4	2	0	2	4	9	6
7	Bristol City U21	3	1	2	0	6	4	5
8	Cardiff U21	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	QPR U21	4	1	1	2	8	9	4
10	Sheff Utd U21	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Charlton U21	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
12	Swansea U21	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
13	Colchester U21	3	1	0	2	7	11	3
14	Wigan U21	4	0	2	2	7	13	2
15	Hull U21	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
16	Coventry U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	Millwall U21	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	QPR U21	Fleetwood Town U21
Bournemouth U21	5-2 W	2-6 L
Colchester U21	4-3 W	0-4 L
Millwall U21	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: QPR U21 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

QPR U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
25/08	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-3	9	3	D
18/08	Peterborough U21 England Development League 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	3	0	D
10/04	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	3-1	5-2	6	0	W
27/03	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-3	9	4	L
24/03	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	0-2	2-3	8	3	L
20/03	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	4-3	3	7	W
17/03	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
10/03	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	0-0	2-0	4	4	W

Fleetwood Town U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
25/08	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
14/08	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	–	0-4	–	–	L
14/04	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/04	Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2	1-5	2-6	4	5	L
03/04	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	0-2	0-5	8	2	L
31/03	Brentford U21 England Development League 2	0-3	1-6	2	1	L
24/03	Millwall U21 England Development League 2	2-1	3-2	11	2	W
17/03	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
10/03	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-3	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in QPR U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a QPR U21 win (49%). Probabilities: QPR U21 49%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town U21 30%.

How many goals are expected in QPR U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

The model expects 4.28 goals (QPR U21 2.39 · Fleetwood Town U21 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in QPR U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.