Football · Greece Cup · 17/08, 16:00

Prediction: Athens Kallithea vs Larissa

Team pages: Larissa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Athens Kallithea1.38
Larissa1.38
1X2
36% 29% 36%
Athens Kallithea Draw Larissa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Athens Kallithea 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWDDWL
Larissa 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLDLDDDWLW
Head-to-head
Athens Kallithea 0–2 Larissa (2 last)
  • Larissa1-0Athens Kallithea
  • Athens Kallithea0-1Larissa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athens Kallithea 1543 · Larissa 1480
Athens KallitheaDrawLarissa
Our model36%28%36%
Market35%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athens Kallithea (rating 1543 vs 1480).
  • H2H favours Larissa: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Athens KallitheaLarissa
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.81.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.42.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 04.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Athens Kallithea 002 Larissa

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/16
Greece Super League 2
Larissa1-0
HT 1-0
Athens Kallithea
22/11/15
Greece Super League 2
Athens Kallithea0-1
HT 0-1
Larissa

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athens Kallithea

WWDWDWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 AEK Athens
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-4 21 L
25/04 Kissamikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 21 W
19/04 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 D
04/04 Panargiakos
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 33 D
29/03 Ilioupoli
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 25 W
21/03 Egaleo
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 37 D
15/03 Kissamikos
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 56 W
07/03 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-1 35 D
01/03 Panargiakos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 62 W
21/02 Ilioupoli
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 58 W

Larissa

LLDLDDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Trikala
Greece Cup
2-0 4-0 62 W
21/05 Kifisias FC
Greece Super League 1
1-2 2-3 22 L
16/05 Atromitos Athinon
Greece Super League 1
2-0 2-1 35 W
12/05 Panetolikos
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-1 13 D
09/05 Asteras Tripolis
Greece Super League 1
1-1 1-1 68 D
02/05 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-1 28 D
26/04 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 1
0-0 0-1 46 L
22/04 Kifisias FC
Greece Super League 1
0-1 1-1 83 D
18/04 Atromitos Athinon
Greece Super League 1
0-3 2-3 47 L
08/04 Panetolikos
Greece Super League 1
0-1 1-2 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athens Kallithea vs Larissa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athens Kallithea win (36%). Probabilities: Athens Kallithea 36%, draw 29%, Larissa 36%.

How many goals are expected in Athens Kallithea vs Larissa?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Athens Kallithea 1.38 · Larissa 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Athens Kallithea vs Larissa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.