Football · Greece Cup · 19/08, 16:00

Prediction: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Nestos Chrisoupolis1.5
Apollon Kalamarias0.94
1X2
49% 29% 22%
Nestos Chrisoupolis Draw Apollon Kalamarias
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nestos Chrisoupolis 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWDWDD
Apollon Kalamarias 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLWDW
Head-to-head
Nestos Chrisoupolis 2–0 Apollon Kalamarias (2 last)
  • Nestos Chrisoupolis2-0Apollon Kalamarias
  • Apollon Kalamarias0-1Nestos Chrisoupolis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nestos Chrisoupolis 1557 · Apollon Kalamarias 1561
Nestos ChrisoupolisDrawApollon Kalamarias
Our model49%28%22%
Market48%30%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nestos Chrisoupolis: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nestos ChrisoupolisApollon Kalamarias
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.61.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 01 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 2.4– / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.31.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nestos Chrisoupolis 200 Apollon Kalamarias

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/25
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Nestos Chrisoupolis2-0
HT 2-0
Apollon Kalamarias
05/01/25
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Apollon Kalamarias0-1
HT 0-1
Nestos Chrisoupolis

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nestos Chrisoupolis

WWDWWWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Panthrakikos
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 20 D
26/04 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
1-0 2-2 18 D
22/04 Giannina
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 28 W
18/04 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 10 D
08/04 Makedonikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 92 W
05/04 Kampaniakos
Greece Super League 2
2-0 3-0 20 W
14/03 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-1 313 W
08/03 Giannina
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 06 D
28/02 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 W
22/02 Makedonikos
Greece Super League 2
2-0 5-1 25 W

Apollon Kalamarias

WWWLWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Panthrakikos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 01 W
13/05 Po Elassonas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 33 D
10/05 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-1 3-2 101 W
03/05 Panthrakikos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-2 L
29/04 Po Elassonas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 2-1 42 W
26/04 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-1 3-2 W
08/04 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 L
05/04 Ermis Exochis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 61 W
01/04 Philippos Alexandrias
Greece Gamma Ethniki
3-0 W
28/03 Veria
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nestos Chrisoupolis win (49%). Probabilities: Nestos Chrisoupolis 49%, draw 29%, Apollon Kalamarias 22%.

How many goals are expected in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Nestos Chrisoupolis 1.5 · Apollon Kalamarias 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.