Football · Greece Cup · 19/08, 16:15
Prediction: Kalamata vs Panetolikos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Kalamata1.01
Panetolikos1.11
1X2
Kalamata
Draw
Panetolikos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kalamata
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Panetolikos
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kalamata
0–1–0
Panetolikos
(1 last)
- Kalamata2-2Panetolikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalamata 1582 · Panetolikos 1467
| Kalamata | Draw | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalamata (rating 1582 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kalamata | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalamata 0–1–0 Panetolikos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/22 Greece Cup | Kalamata | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Panetolikos |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalamata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Panionios Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/08 | Volos NFC Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 2 Super Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | Marko Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Olympiacos B Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Panionios Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 01/03 | Marko Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/02 | Olympiacos B Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Panionios Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 10 | L |
| 25/01 | Hellas Syrou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Panetolikos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Troyes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/08 | Levadiakos World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Panetolikos win (37%). Probabilities: Kalamata 32%, draw 31%, Panetolikos 37%.
How many goals are expected in Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Kalamata 1.01 · Panetolikos 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.