Football · Greece Cup · 19/08, 18:00
Prediction: Panserraikos vs Panthrakikos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Panserraikos2.1
Panthrakikos0.89
1X2
Panserraikos
Draw
Panthrakikos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Panserraikos
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Panthrakikos
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Panserraikos
1–1–0
Panthrakikos
(2 last)
- Panthrakikos0-3Panserraikos
- Panserraikos0-0Panthrakikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panserraikos 1464 · Panthrakikos 1541
| Panserraikos | Draw | Panthrakikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panthrakikos (rating 1464 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panserraikos | Panthrakikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panserraikos 1–1–0 Panthrakikos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/17 Greece Super League 2 | Panthrakikos | 0-3 | Panserraikos |
| 22/01/17 Greece Super League 2 | Panserraikos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Panthrakikos |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panserraikos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Aris Salonika Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-4 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 08/04 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Panthrakikos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Nestos Chrisoupolis Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Apollon Kalamarias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Po Elassonas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Apollon Kalamarias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Po Elassonas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Aetos Orfanou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Xanthi Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 01/04 | Doxa Drama Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panserraikos vs Panthrakikos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Panserraikos win (64%). Probabilities: Panserraikos 64%, draw 22%, Panthrakikos 14%.
How many goals are expected in Panserraikos vs Panthrakikos?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Panserraikos 2.1 · Panthrakikos 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Panserraikos vs Panthrakikos?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.