Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 17/10, 18:30

Prediction: Villarreal C vs Crevillente

Team pages: Villarreal C · Crevillente

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Villarreal C2.02

Crevillente1.17

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Villarreal C Draw Crevillente

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal C 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWW

Crevillente 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWDDDW

Head-to-head

Villarreal C 3–3–0 Crevillente (6 last)

Crevillente1-2Villarreal C
Villarreal C1-0Crevillente
Crevillente0-0Villarreal C
Villarreal C1-0Crevillente
Villarreal C1-1Crevillente
Crevillente1-1Villarreal C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal C 1608 · Crevillente 1495

	Villarreal C	Draw	Crevillente
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal C (rating 1608 vs 1495).
H2H favours Villarreal C: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal C	Crevillente
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 0.2	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.79
2	5.25 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.87 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +10’	1.53	3.70	5.25
14:55 +5’	1.61▲	3.60▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +99’	1.65	3.63	4.45
14:33 +27’	1.57▼	3.79▲	4.87▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal C 3–3–0 Crevillente

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	1-2 HT 1-1	Villarreal C
01/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-0 HT 0-0	Crevillente
16/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal C
11/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-0	Crevillente
26/01/20 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-1 HT 0-0	Crevillente
08/09/19 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	1-1 HT 1-1	Villarreal C

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	6	5	0	1	11	5	15
2	Levante B	6	4	1	1	12	3	13
3	UD Vall De Uxo	6	3	3	0	8	2	12
4	Hercules II	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
5	Torrent C.F.	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
6	Crevillente	5	2	3	0	9	7	9
7	CD Roda	6	2	3	1	8	6	9
8	Eldense B	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
9	Atletico Saguntino	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
10	Acero	6	1	4	1	6	5	7
11	SC Torrevieja CF	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
12	Ontinyent	6	2	0	4	8	9	6
13	Jove Espanol	6	1	3	2	7	11	6
14	CD Bunol	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
15	Atzeneta	6	0	5	1	5	6	5
16	Athletic Torrellano	6	1	1	4	5	10	4
17	Soneja	6	1	1	4	5	11	4
18	Utiel	6	0	3	3	4	10	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal C	Crevillente
Ontinyent	2-1 W	3-2 W
Levante B	0-2 L	1-4 L
Atletico Saguntino	1-0 W	2-2 D
CD Roda	2-1 W	1-1 D
Soneja	3-0 W	2-2 D
Athletic Torrellano	2-0 W	2-4 L
Atzeneta	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal C (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal C

WWWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	3-1	4	7	W
04/10	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
26/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	12	W
13/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	3-0	1	11	W
17/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-3	6	7	L
09/05	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	3	6	W

Crevillente

LLLWWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-2	3	8	W
27/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
13/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
09/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	12	W
26/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-4	4	6	L
18/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
12/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-3	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal C vs Crevillente?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal C win (56%). Probabilities: Villarreal C 56%, draw 24%, Crevillente 20%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal C vs Crevillente?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Villarreal C 2.02 · Crevillente 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal C vs Crevillente?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.