Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 25/10, 17:30

Prediction: Crevillente vs CD Bunol

Team pages: Crevillente · CD Bunol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Crevillente1.51

CD Bunol1.05

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Crevillente Draw CD Bunol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Crevillente 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDWLD

CD Bunol 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDLLL

Head-to-head

Crevillente 3–2 CD Bunol (5 last)

CD Bunol0-4Crevillente
Crevillente0-1CD Bunol
Crevillente0-3CD Bunol
CD Bunol1-2Crevillente
CD Bunol1-2Crevillente

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crevillente 1541 · CD Bunol 1455

	Crevillente	Draw	CD Bunol
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crevillente (rating 1541 vs 1455).
H2H favours Crevillente: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crevillente	CD Bunol
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/38/63%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	7.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.12 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:55 +10’	1.91	3.30	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +24’	2.12	3.01	3.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Crevillente 3–0–2 CD Bunol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	0-4 HT 0-2	Crevillente
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-1	CD Bunol
22/04/18 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-3 HT 0-0	CD Bunol
02/12/17 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	1-2 HT 1-2	Crevillente
20/11/16 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	1-2 HT 0-1	Crevillente

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	7	6	0	1	12	5	18
2	Levante B	8	5	2	1	14	3	17
3	UD Vall De Uxo	6	3	3	0	8	2	12
4	Hercules II	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
5	Eldense B	8	2	4	2	8	7	10
6	Crevillente	7	2	4	1	9	8	10
7	Torrent C.F.	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
8	CD Roda	7	2	3	2	9	8	9
9	Acero	7	1	5	1	7	6	8
10	Atzeneta	7	1	5	1	7	7	8
11	Atletico Saguntino	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
12	SC Torrevieja CF	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
13	Soneja	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
14	Ontinyent	6	2	0	4	8	9	6
15	Jove Espanol	7	1	3	3	7	13	6
16	CD Bunol	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
17	Athletic Torrellano	6	1	1	4	5	10	4
18	Utiel	6	0	3	3	4	10	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crevillente	CD Bunol
Levante B	0-0 D	0-0 D
Villarreal C	0-1 L	1-3 L
Ontinyent	3-2 W	0-3 L
CD Roda	1-1 D	0-1 L
Recambios Colon	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Crevillente (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crevillente

LWWWDDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
10/10	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-2	3	8	W
27/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
13/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
09/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	12	W
26/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-4	4	6	L

CD Bunol

WLLWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
04/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
27/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
20/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
05/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
19/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crevillente vs CD Bunol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crevillente win (47%). Probabilities: Crevillente 47%, draw 28%, CD Bunol 25%.

How many goals are expected in Crevillente vs CD Bunol?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Crevillente 1.51 · CD Bunol 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Crevillente vs CD Bunol?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.