Football · England Northern League Division One · 12/08, 20:45
Prediction: Shifnal Town vs Lichfield City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Shifnal Town1.77
Lichfield City1.42
1X2
Shifnal Town
Draw
Lichfield City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shifnal Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Lichfield City
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shifnal Town 1471 · Lichfield City 1467
| Shifnal Town | Draw | Lichfield City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shifnal Town | Lichfield City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shifnal Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Coleshill Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Rushall Olympic Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | AFC Telford Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Wythenshawe Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/03 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Mossley England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/12 | Clitheroe England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/12 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Gainsborough England FA Trophy |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Lichfield City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 24/02 | Coventry Sphinx England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/02 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/01 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/10 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/10 | Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 07/10 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Belper Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shifnal Town vs Lichfield City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shifnal Town win (45%). Probabilities: Shifnal Town 45%, draw 25%, Lichfield City 30%.
How many goals are expected in Shifnal Town vs Lichfield City?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Shifnal Town 1.77 · Lichfield City 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shifnal Town vs Lichfield City?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.