Prediction: Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
Team pages: Cittadella Vis Modena · Pistoiese
- Pistoiese5-0Cittadella Vis Modena
- Cittadella Vis Modena0-0Pistoiese
- Cittadella Vis Modena0-2Pistoiese
- Pistoiese1-2Cittadella Vis Modena
| Cittadella Vis Modena | Draw | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 30% | 56% |
| Market | 16% | 26% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pistoiese (rating 1480 vs 1609).
- H2H favours Pistoiese: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cittadella Vis Modena | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 3.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cittadella Vis Modena 1–1–2 Pistoiese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie D | Pistoiese | 5-0 | Cittadella Vis Modena |
| 21/12/25 Italy Serie D | Cittadella Vis Modena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pistoiese |
| 12/01/25 Italy Serie D | Cittadella Vis Modena | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Pistoiese |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie D | Pistoiese | 1-2 | Cittadella Vis Modena |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Città di Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cittadella Vis Modena | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Correggese | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| ASD Varesina | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pistoiese (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cittadella Vis Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Pistoiese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pistoiese win (57%). Probabilities: Cittadella Vis Modena 15%, draw 27%, Pistoiese 57%.
How many goals are expected in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
The model expects 2 goals (Cittadella Vis Modena 0.59 · Pistoiese 1.41), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.