Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: AC Milan U23 vs Club Milano

Team pages: AC Milan U23 · Club Milano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
AC Milan U231.75
Club Milano1.1
1X2
51% 26% 23%
AC Milan U23 Draw Club Milano
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Milan U23 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
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Club Milano 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Milan U23 1536 · Club Milano 1455
AC Milan U23DrawClub Milano
Our model52%26%23%
Market51%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Milan U23 (rating 1536 vs 1455).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Milan U23Club Milano
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.31 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.50.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/63/13%0/71/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.41.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 8611 18319
2 Sambiase 8521 12617
3 Calcio Avola 1949 8512 121116
4 Vibonese 8431 17715
5 Igea Virtus 8422 191514
6 ASD Licata 7421 10914
7 Milazzo 8413 91013
8 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 8332 14812
9 Nissa FC 8233 11129
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Vigor Lamezia 8224 10168
12 Siracusa 7421 1157
13 Modica 7214 7107
14 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
15 Città di Gela 8143 686
16 Trapani 8305 4114
17 ASD Ragusa 8035 6133
18 Enna Calcio 8017 0201

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Milan U23

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 45 W
11/10 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 52 L
20/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 26 W
16/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 63 W
12/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
06/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-3 33 W
03/05 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
5-0 10-1 122 W
26/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W

Club Milano

LWLWLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 52 L
11/10 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
04/10 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 24 L
27/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 62 D
20/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 42 L
16/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 48 L
12/09 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
06/09 ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 44 L
03/05 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-1 4-1 41 W
26/04 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Milan U23 vs Club Milano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan U23 win (51%). Probabilities: AC Milan U23 51%, draw 26%, Club Milano 23%.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan U23 vs Club Milano?

The model expects 2.86 goals (AC Milan U23 1.75 · Club Milano 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Milan U23 vs Club Milano?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.