Football · England Northern League Division One · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Witton Albion vs Stalybridge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Witton Albion1.7
Stalybridge2.05
1X2
Witton Albion
Draw
Stalybridge
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Witton Albion
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Stalybridge
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Witton Albion
1–1–4
Stalybridge
(6 last)
- Witton Albion1-3Stalybridge
- Witton Albion0-2Stalybridge
- Stalybridge2-2Witton Albion
- Witton Albion0-1Stalybridge
- Stalybridge0-2Witton Albion
- Witton Albion1-3Stalybridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Witton Albion 1446 · Stalybridge 1561
| Witton Albion | Draw | Stalybridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stalybridge (rating 1446 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Stalybridge: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Witton Albion | Stalybridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Witton Albion 1–1–4 Stalybridge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England Northern League Division One | Witton Albion | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Stalybridge |
| 12/02/22 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Stalybridge |
| 06/11/21 England Northern Premier League | Stalybridge | 2-2 | Witton Albion |
| 28/09/19 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stalybridge |
| 09/02/19 England Northern Premier League | Stalybridge | 0-2 | Witton Albion |
| 06/11/18 England Northern Premier League | Witton Albion | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Stalybridge |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Witton Albion | Stalybridge |
|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1-4 L | 2-6 L |
| Stafford Rangers | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Atherton Collieries | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stalybridge (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Witton Albion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bury England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/02 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/12 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/10 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/10 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
Stalybridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ashton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Leek Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 28/04 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/01 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/01 | Bury England Northern League Division One |
0-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/12 | Mossley England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 20/12 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/12 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Witton Albion vs Stalybridge?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stalybridge win (45%). Probabilities: Witton Albion 31%, draw 24%, Stalybridge 45%.
How many goals are expected in Witton Albion vs Stalybridge?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Witton Albion 1.7 · Stalybridge 2.05), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Witton Albion vs Stalybridge?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.