Prediction: Loughborough University vs Belper Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Loughborough University1.21
Belper Town1.39
1X2
32% 27% 41%
Loughborough University Draw Belper Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Loughborough University 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLDWDWWW
Belper Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWLLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loughborough University 1521 · Belper Town 1487
Loughborough UniversityDrawBelper Town
Our model31%29%40%
Market33%25%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Loughborough UniversityBelper Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.82.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.23.8 / 0.1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLoughborough UniversityBelper Town
Shepshed Dynamo 2-0 W 0-0 D
Anstey Nomads 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loughborough University

DLLLDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/04 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 22 W
04/04 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 13 W
21/03 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-0 136 W
21/02 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 13 D
03/02 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
2-1 3-1 43 W
10/01 Coleshill Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 20 D
01/01 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-3 63 L
26/12 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 64 L
15/11 Bourne Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 1-2 73 L
01/11 St Neots Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 62 D

Belper Town

LWLDDWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 43 D
28/04 Basford Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-2 89 D
04/04 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 52 L
31/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 26 L
10/02 Rugby Town
England Northern League Division One
3-0 4-1 45 W
09/12 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 61 D
06/12 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 46 D
29/10 Corby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 52 L
14/10 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 21 W
07/10 Carlton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loughborough University vs Belper Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Belper Town win (41%). Probabilities: Loughborough University 32%, draw 27%, Belper Town 41%.

How many goals are expected in Loughborough University vs Belper Town?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Loughborough University 1.21 · Belper Town 1.39), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loughborough University vs Belper Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.