Prediction: Boldmere St Michaels vs Carlton Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Boldmere St Michaels1.07
Carlton Town1.98
1X2
19% 23% 58%
Boldmere St Michaels Draw Carlton Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boldmere St Michaels 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDWDWLDL
Carlton Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWLDDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boldmere St Michaels 1465 · Carlton Town 1503
Boldmere St MichaelsDrawCarlton Town
Our model19%24%57%
Market20%22%58%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boldmere St MichaelsCarlton Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 31.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.34.2 / 0.2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoldmere St MichaelsCarlton Town
Belper Town 2-0 W 1-0 W
Racing Club Warwick 2-0 W 0-0 D
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0-1 L 3-2 W
Long Eaton Utd 0-3 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boldmere St Michaels

LLLDWDWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Chasetown
UK Friendlies
0-2 1-2 10 L
21/07 Rushall Olympic
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-2 20 D
13/07 Alvechurch
UK Friendlies
2-2 2-3 11 L
04/04 Belper Town
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-0 12 W
28/03 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-3 41 D
28/02 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 19 W
04/02 Corby
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 76 D
01/11 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 55 L
14/10 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 35 L
07/10 Lichfield City
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 53 L

Carlton Town

LWWWWWLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Matlock Town
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-4 36 L
28/04 Racing Club Warwick
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 78 D
18/04 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 74 D
24/03 Anstey Nomads
England Northern League Division One
0-4 0-6 64 L
03/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 52 W
20/01 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-1 45 W
04/11 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 43 W
28/10 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 44 W
07/10 Belper Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 64 W
20/09 Shifnal Town
England FA Trophy
1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boldmere St Michaels vs Carlton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Carlton Town win (58%). Probabilities: Boldmere St Michaels 19%, draw 23%, Carlton Town 58%.

How many goals are expected in Boldmere St Michaels vs Carlton Town?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Boldmere St Michaels 1.07 · Carlton Town 1.98), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Boldmere St Michaels vs Carlton Town?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.