Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 13/09, 18:30
Prediction: Mosconia vs Gijon Industrial
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Mosconia1.6
Gijon Industrial0.87
1X2
Mosconia
Draw
Gijon Industrial
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mosconia
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gijon Industrial
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mosconia
2–1–3
Gijon Industrial
(6 last)
- Mosconia0-0Gijon Industrial
- Gijon Industrial0-2Mosconia
- Gijon Industrial2-1Mosconia
- Mosconia0-1Gijon Industrial
- Mosconia0-3Gijon Industrial
- Gijon Industrial1-2Mosconia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mosconia 1484 · Gijon Industrial 1502
| Mosconia | Draw | Gijon Industrial | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gijon Industrial: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mosconia | Gijon Industrial | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/83/17% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mosconia 2–1–3 Gijon Industrial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Mosconia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gijon Industrial |
| 04/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Gijon Industrial | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Mosconia |
| 20/02/22 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Gijon Industrial | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Mosconia |
| 09/10/21 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Mosconia | 0-1 | Gijon Industrial |
| 07/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Mosconia | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Gijon Industrial |
| 13/12/20 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Gijon Industrial | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Mosconia |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mosconia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Caudal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gijon Industrial | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Colunga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijon B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | UC Ceares | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lealtad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Condal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Andes CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Praviano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | UP Langreo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Siero | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | L'Entregu CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | El San Martin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Astur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Llanes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Aviles Stadium CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mosconia | Gijon Industrial |
|---|---|---|
| SD Navarro CF | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Praviano | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Lenense | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| El San Martin | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gijon Industrial (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mosconia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 02/04 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Gijon Industrial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Siero Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mosconia vs Gijon Industrial?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mosconia win (54%). Probabilities: Mosconia 54%, draw 27%, Gijon Industrial 20%.
How many goals are expected in Mosconia vs Gijon Industrial?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Mosconia 1.6 · Gijon Industrial 0.87), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mosconia vs Gijon Industrial?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.