Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: Chiclana vs RB Linense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Chiclana1.13

RB Linense1.21

1X2

33% 30% 37%

Chiclana Draw RB Linense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Chiclana 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDWDDL

RB Linense 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Chiclana 1–1 RB Linense (2 last)

Chiclana2-4RB Linense
RB Linense1-2Chiclana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiclana 1451 · RB Linense 1487

	Chiclana	Draw	RB Linense
Our model	33%	31%	37%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chiclana	RB Linense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	17/83/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.81
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.38 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.51 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +11’	2.70	3.10	2.38
06:27 +12’	2.70	3.10	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +4’	2.81	2.85	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiclana 1–0–1 RB Linense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Chiclana	2-4	RB Linense
07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	RB Linense	1-2	Chiclana

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Onubense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bollullos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz Mirandilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Egabrense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pozoblanco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD San Roque de Lepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Utrera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chiclana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Conil CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Portuense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RB Linense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Betis Deportivo C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Tomares	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Xerez Deportivo FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chiclana	RB Linense
Coria CF	1-1 D	0-0 D
UD Tomares	1-2 L	1-1 D
Conil CF	2-1 W	2-0 W
Club Atletico Central	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RB Linense (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiclana

DWLLDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
12/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/04	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
28/03	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
22/03	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
15/03	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/03	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

RB Linense

DDWWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
19/04	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/04	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
28/03	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/03	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
15/03	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/03	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiclana vs RB Linense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RB Linense win (37%). Probabilities: Chiclana 33%, draw 30%, RB Linense 37%.

How many goals are expected in Chiclana vs RB Linense?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Chiclana 1.13 · RB Linense 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chiclana vs RB Linense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.