Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 06/09, 19:00

Prediction: UD Tomares vs Cadiz Mirandilla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

UD Tomares1.06

Cadiz Mirandilla1.15

1X2

33% 30% 37%

UD Tomares Draw Cadiz Mirandilla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Tomares 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWLLDW

Cadiz Mirandilla 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDLDWL

Head-to-head

UD Tomares 2–1–0 Cadiz Mirandilla (3 last)

UD Tomares0-0Cadiz Mirandilla
UD Tomares2-1Cadiz Mirandilla
Cadiz Mirandilla0-1UD Tomares

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Tomares 1528 · Cadiz Mirandilla 1499

	UD Tomares	Draw	Cadiz Mirandilla
Our model	32%	32%	36%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UD Tomares: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Tomares	Cadiz Mirandilla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/57/0%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.2	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +5’	2.70	3.10	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Tomares 2–1–0 Cadiz Mirandilla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Europe Friendlies	UD Tomares	0-0 HT 0-0	Cadiz Mirandilla
10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	2-1 HT 1-0	Cadiz Mirandilla
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cadiz Mirandilla	0-1	UD Tomares

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Onubense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bollullos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz Mirandilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Egabrense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pozoblanco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD San Roque de Lepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Utrera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chiclana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Conil CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Portuense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RB Linense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Betis Deportivo C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Tomares	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Xerez Deportivo FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UD Tomares	Cadiz Mirandilla
Coria CF	2-2 D	1-0 W
Ciudad Lucena	0-5 L	3-0 W
Bollullos CF	3-1 W	2-2 D
Sevilla C	0-0 D	0-2 L
RB Linense	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Tomares

DWDLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
03/05	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
26/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-5	–	–	L
19/04	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/04	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-1	1	8	W
05/04	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
01/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
22/03	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
15/03	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D

Cadiz Mirandilla

WWDDWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-2	0	6	L
03/05	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
12/04	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/03	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
22/03	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
15/03	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	4-0	7-2	2	7	W
08/03	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Tomares vs Cadiz Mirandilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cadiz Mirandilla win (37%). Probabilities: UD Tomares 33%, draw 30%, Cadiz Mirandilla 37%.

How many goals are expected in UD Tomares vs Cadiz Mirandilla?

The model expects 2.21 goals (UD Tomares 1.06 · Cadiz Mirandilla 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Tomares vs Cadiz Mirandilla?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.