Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 13/09, 12:00

Prediction: CD Utrera vs Conil CF

Team pages: CD Utrera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

CD Utrera1.44

Conil CF1.03

1X2

46% 28% 26%

CD Utrera Draw Conil CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Utrera 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDWWWL

Conil CF 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

CD Utrera 2–2–2 Conil CF (6 last)

CD Utrera0-1Conil CF
Conil CF4-2CD Utrera
Conil CF1-1CD Utrera
CD Utrera2-0Conil CF
CD Utrera1-1Conil CF
Conil CF2-4CD Utrera

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Utrera 1527 · Conil CF 1566

	CD Utrera	Draw	Conil CF
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Utrera	Conil CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:09 +2’	1.95	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Utrera 2–2–2 Conil CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	0-1 HT 0-0	Conil CF
12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	4-2 HT 3-1	CD Utrera
02/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Utrera
20/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	2-0 HT 0-0	Conil CF
07/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	1-1 HT 0-0	Conil CF
18/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	2-4	CD Utrera

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
2	CD Egabrense	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
3	Atletico Onubense	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	Betis Deportivo C	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Conil CF	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Racing Portuense	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	Cadiz Mirandilla	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
8	UD Tomares	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	AD Ceuta FC B	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	CD San Roque de Lepe	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	RB Linense	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	Pozoblanco	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
13	Xerez Deportivo FC	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Cordoba B	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
16	Bollullos CF	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Sevilla C	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
18	CD Utrera	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Utrera	Conil CF
RB Linense	1-0 W	0-2 L
Atletico Onubense	0-0 D	3-2 W
Pozoblanco	1-1 D	1-0 W
CD San Roque de Lepe	2-1 W	1-0 W
Castilleja CF	1-2 L	1-3 L
Coria CF	3-2 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Conil CF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Utrera

WLWWDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
10/05	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/04	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
19/04	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/04	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
05/04	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
01/04	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/03	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/03	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	3-2	7	7	W

Conil CF

LWLWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
26/04	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	7	9	W
12/04	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
05/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	4-2	–	–	W
28/03	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/03	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/03	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Utrera vs Conil CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Utrera win (46%). Probabilities: CD Utrera 46%, draw 28%, Conil CF 26%.

How many goals are expected in CD Utrera vs Conil CF?

The model expects 2.46 goals (CD Utrera 1.44 · Conil CF 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Utrera vs Conil CF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.