Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: CD San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta FC B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

CD San Roque de Lepe1.04

AD Ceuta FC B0.96

1X2

37% 31% 32%

CD San Roque de Lepe Draw AD Ceuta FC B

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD San Roque de Lepe 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDLDLL

AD Ceuta FC B 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWDWDD

Head-to-head

CD San Roque de Lepe 1–2–1 AD Ceuta FC B (4 last)

CD San Roque de Lepe0-1AD Ceuta FC B
AD Ceuta FC B0-0CD San Roque de Lepe
AD Ceuta FC B2-3CD San Roque de Lepe
CD San Roque de Lepe0-0AD Ceuta FC B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD San Roque de Lepe 1428 · AD Ceuta FC B 1525

	CD San Roque de Lepe	Draw	AD Ceuta FC B
Our model	36%	33%	31%
Market	38%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Ceuta FC B (rating 1428 vs 1525).
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD San Roque de Lepe	AD Ceuta FC B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/33/50%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +2’	2.38	3.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD San Roque de Lepe 1–2–1 AD Ceuta FC B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD San Roque de Lepe	0-1	AD Ceuta FC B
10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	AD Ceuta FC B	0-0	CD San Roque de Lepe
01/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	AD Ceuta FC B	2-3	CD San Roque de Lepe
19/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD San Roque de Lepe	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Ceuta FC B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Onubense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bollullos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz Mirandilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Egabrense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pozoblanco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD San Roque de Lepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Utrera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chiclana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Conil CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Portuense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RB Linense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Betis Deportivo C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Tomares	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Xerez Deportivo FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD San Roque de Lepe	AD Ceuta FC B
Cordoba B	0-2 L	0-1 L
Chiclana	2-2 D	1-1 D
Conil CF	0-1 L	1-0 W
Club Atletico Central	0-0 D	0-0 D
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AD Ceuta FC B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD San Roque de Lepe

LDDLLDLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
26/04	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
12/04	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
29/03	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/03	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
15/03	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
11/03	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	2-4	1	4	L

AD Ceuta FC B

DWDLWWDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/05	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/04	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/04	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/04	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	4	9	D
28/03	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/03	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta FC B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD San Roque de Lepe win (37%). Probabilities: CD San Roque de Lepe 37%, draw 31%, AD Ceuta FC B 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta FC B?

The model expects 2 goals (CD San Roque de Lepe 1.04 · AD Ceuta FC B 0.96), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta FC B?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.