Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: UD Tomares vs Cordoba B

Team pages: UD Tomares · Cordoba B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

UD Tomares1.37

Cordoba B1.18

1X2

40% 29% 31%

UD Tomares Draw Cordoba B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Tomares 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLDWDL

Cordoba B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWDLD

Head-to-head

UD Tomares 5–1 Cordoba B (6 last)

UD Tomares3-0Cordoba B
Cordoba B1-2UD Tomares
Cordoba B0-2UD Tomares
UD Tomares3-2Cordoba B
Cordoba B5-1UD Tomares
UD Tomares1-0Cordoba B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Tomares 1502 · Cordoba B 1515

	UD Tomares	Draw	Cordoba B
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UD Tomares: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Tomares	Cordoba B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3	2.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.32 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +6’	2.25	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +107’	2.32	2.95	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Tomares 5–0–1 Cordoba B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	3-0 HT 1-0	Cordoba B
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	1-2 HT 0-2	UD Tomares
12/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	0-2 HT 0-0	UD Tomares
01/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	3-2 HT 1-1	Cordoba B
14/04/22 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	5-1 HT 3-1	UD Tomares
12/12/21 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	1-0 HT 0-0	Cordoba B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Betis Deportivo C	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
2	Racing Portuense	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	CD Egabrense	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
4	Xerez Deportivo FC	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
5	AD Ceuta FC B	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
6	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
7	Chiclana	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
8	Pozoblanco	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
9	CD Utrera	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	Conil CF	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
11	RB Linense	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
12	Atletico Onubense	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
13	Cadiz Mirandilla	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
14	Cordoba B	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	UD Tomares	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
16	CD San Roque de Lepe	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
17	Bollullos CF	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
18	Sevilla C	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UD Tomares	Cordoba B
Coria CF	2-2 D	4-0 W
AD Ceuta FC B	0-2 L	1-0 W
Bollullos CF	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cordoba B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Tomares

DLWWLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
06/09	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
10/05	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
03/05	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
26/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-5	–	–	L
19/04	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/04	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-1	1	8	W
05/04	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
01/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Cordoba B

WLLWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
06/09	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
03/05	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
26/04	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/04	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/04	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
01/04	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Tomares vs Cordoba B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Tomares win (40%). Probabilities: UD Tomares 40%, draw 29%, Cordoba B 31%.

How many goals are expected in UD Tomares vs Cordoba B?

The model expects 2.54 goals (UD Tomares 1.37 · Cordoba B 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Tomares vs Cordoba B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.