Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 27/09, 17:00

Prediction: RB Linense vs Conil CF

Team pages: RB Linense · Conil CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

RB Linense1.48

Conil CF0.79

1X2

53% 27% 20%

RB Linense Draw Conil CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

RB Linense 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWLWL

Conil CF 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

RB Linense 2–0 Conil CF (2 last)

RB Linense2-0Conil CF
Conil CF0-2RB Linense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RB Linense 1478 · Conil CF 1513

	RB Linense	Draw	Conil CF
Our model	52%	29%	19%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RB Linense: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RB Linense	Conil CF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.70 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +14’	1.67	3.50	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +113’	1.70	3.39	4.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Linense 2–0–0 Conil CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	RB Linense	2-0	Conil CF
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	0-2	RB Linense

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
2	Racing Portuense	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Real Betis C	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
4	CD Utrera	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
5	CD Egabrense	3	2	0	1	8	6	6
6	Xerez Deportivo FC	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
7	Pozoblanco	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
8	Cadiz Mirandilla	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
9	AD Ceuta FC B	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
10	UD Tomares	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
11	Chiclana	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	RB Linense	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
13	Sevilla C	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
14	Atletico Onubense	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
15	Conil CF	3	1	0	2	1	4	3
16	Bollullos CF	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
17	CD San Roque de Lepe	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
18	Cordoba B	4	0	1	3	3	8	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RB Linense	Conil CF
CD Utrera	0-1 L	0-2 L
Cadiz Mirandilla	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RB Linense (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RB Linense

WLDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
13/09	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
05/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
10/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
19/04	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
12/04	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
28/03	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	3	6	W

Conil CF

LWLWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
13/09	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
05/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
26/04	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	7	9	W
12/04	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
05/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	4-2	–	–	W
28/03	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RB Linense vs Conil CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RB Linense win (53%). Probabilities: RB Linense 53%, draw 27%, Conil CF 20%.

How many goals are expected in RB Linense vs Conil CF?

The model expects 2.28 goals (RB Linense 1.48 · Conil CF 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RB Linense vs Conil CF?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.